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Ogre vs Preilu BJSS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2017
Sat, Oct 7, 2017
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ogre host Preilu BJSS in the 1. Liga 2017. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ogre have averaged 1.25 scored and 3.5 conceded recently, against Preilu BJSS's 1.43 scored and 3.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Ogre have won 2 to Preilu BJSS's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2017, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.85 - 1.61) back Ogre to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ogre
15%
Draws
0%
Preilu BJSS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ogre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Preilu BJSS lately — more wins on the board than Ogre.
  • Model gives Ogre a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ogre Clean Sheet 14%
Preilu BJSS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre Preilu BJSS
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 1
Losses 3 23
Goals Scored 1.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 3.5 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2017 1. Liga
Ogre vs Preilu BJSS
0:0
Jun 18, 2017 1. Liga
Preilu BJSS vs Ogre
0:0
Sep 4, 2016 1. Liga
Preilu BJSS vs Ogre
3:1
Jul 3, 2016 Latvian Cup
Preilu BJSS vs Ogre
0:1
May 4, 2016 1. Liga
Ogre vs Preilu BJSS
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre 84 / 100
Preilu BJSS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre Preilu BJSS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ogre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Preilu BJSS has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Preilu BJSS has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ogre found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Preilu BJSS
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre

(Home)
25 Jun
RTU
6 : 1
Ogre
05 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 1
Ogre
29 Oct
Ogre
3 : 0
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS
22 Oct
Valmiera
5 : 0
Ogre

Preilu BJSS

(Away)
03 Jul
Kadaga/Ostas
2 : 1
Preilu BJSS
13 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Preilu BJSS
07 Oct
Preilu BJSS
1 : 2
Grobina
29 Sept
Super Nova
3 : 2
Preilu BJSS
22 Sept
Preilu BJSS
0 : 3
Tukums 2000
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
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