Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oguzsport vs Falesti

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Oguzsport
15%
Draws
20%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oguzsport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Oguzsport have won more games recently than Falesti.
  • Model gives Oguzsport a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oguzsport Clean Sheet 20%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oguzsport Falesti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Oguzsport
0:2
Aug 14, 2026 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs Falesti
0:0
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs Falesti
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oguzsport 85 / 100
Falesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oguzsport Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oguzsport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oguzsport found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Falesti conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Oguzsport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Falesti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oguzsport VS Falesti
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oguzsport

(Home)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
Vulturii Cutezatori
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0
Oguzsport
Page 1 of 6

Falesti

(Away)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)