Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ohrid vs Brera Strumica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Ohrid Logo

Ohrid

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Brera Strumica Logo

Brera Strumica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ohrid host Brera Strumica in the 2. MFL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Ohrid at 2.18 goals for, 0.86 against; Brera Strumica at 1.64 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Ohrid have won 1 to Brera Strumica's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Ohrid. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ohrid
15%
Draws
50%
Brera Strumica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brera Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ohrid lately — more wins on the board than Brera Strumica.
  • Brera Strumica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 20%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ohrid Brera Strumica
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.18 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Ohrid vs Brera Strumica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ohrid 10 / 100
Brera Strumica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ohrid Brera Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brera Strumica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ohrid's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Brera Strumica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ohrid stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ohrid VS Brera Strumica
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ohrid

(Home)
24 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 2
Ohrid
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Ohrid
2 : 1
Gorno Lisice
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3
Ohrid
Page 1 of 6

Brera Strumica

(Away)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Venec Negotino
0 : 8
Brera Strumica
29 Aug
Brera Strumica
2 : 1
Kamjani
22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
3 Brera Strumica 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
4 Rabotnicki 5 4 0 1 6:2 12
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Kamjani 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
7 Novaci 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
8 Makedonija GP 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
9 Detonit Plackovica 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Teteks 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
12 Gorno Lisice 6 1 1 4 5:6 4
13 Osogovo 6 0 2 4 2:6 2
14 Shkupi 6 0 0 6 1:22 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)