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Oiartzun vs Arenas Getxo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Oiartzun and Arenas Getxo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oiartzun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Oiartzun
30%
Draws
12%
Arenas Getxo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oiartzun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arenas Getxo come out ahead of Oiartzun on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Oiartzun's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arenas Getxo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Getxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oiartzun Arenas Getxo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.7 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Arenas Getxo
0:2
Oct 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Arenas Getxo vs Oiartzun
2:0
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Arenas Getxo
1:0
Dec 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Arenas Getxo vs Oiartzun
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oiartzun 85 / 100
Arenas Getxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oiartzun Arenas Getxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oiartzun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Getxo has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Oiartzun remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Arenas Getxo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arenas Getxo
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oiartzun

(Home)
16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2
Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0
Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0
Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1
Balmaseda
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Arenas Getxo

(Away)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 38 24 9 5 62:34 81
2 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 67:38 70
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 9 9 67:39 69
4 Basconia 38 19 10 9 77:49 67
5 Alaves B 38 17 11 10 54:33 62
6 Zalla UC 38 16 12 10 55:45 60
7 Gernika Club 38 15 14 9 43:29 59
8 Zamudio 38 15 11 12 64:48 56
9 Balmaseda 38 14 13 11 45:40 55
10 Beasain 38 14 10 14 45:59 52
11 Santutxu FC 38 9 21 8 37:40 48
12 SCD Durango 38 13 9 16 52:57 48
13 Pasaia 38 12 10 16 39:48 46
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 34:46 45
15 Oiartzun 38 11 11 16 40:61 44
16 Amurrio Club 38 11 9 18 31:45 42
17 Bermeo 38 9 12 17 37:46 39
18 Elgoibar 38 7 14 17 26:48 35
19 Sodupe 38 5 10 23 36:65 25
20 Retuerto Sport 38 5 10 23 21:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)