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Oiartzun vs SCD Durango

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oiartzun in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oiartzun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Oiartzun
30%
Draws
41%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SCD Durango lately — more wins on the board than Oiartzun.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and SCD Durango have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 16%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oiartzun SCD Durango
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 6 18
Draws 11 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs SCD Durango
1:2
Oct 18, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Oiartzun
3:1
Apr 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs SCD Durango
2:1
Dec 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Oiartzun
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oiartzun 36 / 100
SCD Durango 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oiartzun SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

SCD Durango has conceded goals in 68% of their last 41 outings.

Solid form: Oiartzun remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Oiartzun scored in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS SCD Durango
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oiartzun

(Home)
16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2
Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0
Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0
Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1
Balmaseda
Page 1 of 7

SCD Durango

(Away)
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 38 24 9 5 62:34 81
2 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 67:38 70
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 9 9 67:39 69
4 Basconia 38 19 10 9 77:49 67
5 Alaves B 38 17 11 10 54:33 62
6 Zalla UC 38 16 12 10 55:45 60
7 Gernika Club 38 15 14 9 43:29 59
8 Zamudio 38 15 11 12 64:48 56
9 Balmaseda 38 14 13 11 45:40 55
10 Beasain 38 14 10 14 45:59 52
11 Santutxu FC 38 9 21 8 37:40 48
12 SCD Durango 38 13 9 16 52:57 48
13 Pasaia 38 12 10 16 39:48 46
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 34:46 45
15 Oiartzun 38 11 11 16 40:61 44
16 Amurrio Club 38 11 9 18 31:45 42
17 Bermeo 38 9 12 17 37:46 39
18 Elgoibar 38 7 14 17 26:48 35
19 Sodupe 38 5 10 23 36:65 25
20 Retuerto Sport 38 5 10 23 21:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)