Sport Picks
Oita Trinita vs Verspah Oita
Japan
Emperors Cup 2013 Resonac Dome Oita, Oita 
Match Events
28'
28'
Morishima Y.
39'
39'
Morishima Y.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Oita Trinita advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oita Trinita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Oita Trinita carry the better recent record into this one.
- Oita Trinita are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Oita Trinita have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Oita Trinita, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Oita Trinita have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 20%
Verspah Oita Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oita Trinita | Verspah Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 18 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2023 Emperors Cup
Oita Trinita vs Verspah Oita
0:1
Jul 13, 2014 Emperors Cup
Oita Trinita vs Verspah Oita
2:1
Sep 8, 2013 Emperors Cup
Oita Trinita vs Verspah Oita
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oita Trinita Compare
Top Goalscorer Morishima Y.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Verspah Oita Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oita Trinita 85 / 100
Verspah Oita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oita Trinita Verspah Oita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oita Trinita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Verspah Oita let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.
Oita Trinita's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Oita Trinita stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oita Trinita VS Verspah Oita
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Oita Trinita
(Home) 26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1 Oita Trinita
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Imabari
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Imabari
22 Aug
Oita Trinita
4 : 1 Iwaki
08 Aug
Oita Trinita
0 : 1 Shonan Bellmare
07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 4
Verspah Oita
(Away) 26 Aug
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 0 Verspah Oita
19 Aug
Verspah Oita
3 : 0 Kochi United
28 Jul
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Verspah Oita
20 Jul
Sagan Tosu
7 : 1 Verspah Oita
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1 Verspah Oita
Page 1 of 4
26 Aug
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 0 Verspah Oita
28 Jul
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Verspah Oita
20 Jul
Sagan Tosu
7 : 1 Verspah Oita
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1 Verspah Oita
12 Jul
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
5 : 2 Verspah Oita
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 5
Vanraure 1
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Tochigi SC 5
Giravanz Kitakyushu 2
Gainare Tottori 0
Nagoya Grampus 0
Nagano Parceiro 2
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Tsukuba Univ. 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Albirex Niigata 4
Niigata University 2
Verspah Oita 0
Oita Trinita 2
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Kochi 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 2
Verdy 3
Urawa Reds 2
Tochigi City 1
Toyama 2
Montedio Yamagata 3
Cerezo Osaka 4
Kansai 0
Nara Club 1
Vissel Kobe 3
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Saga University 0
Sagan Tosu 10
FC Tokyo 1
Yokogawa 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 5
Gamba Osaka 5
Imabari 0
Okayama II 0
Omiya Ardija 4
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Fujieda MYFC 0
Yokohama FC 0
Kanazawa 1
Mito 2
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Vegalta Sendai 3
Kofu 1
Fukushima United 0
Ryukyu 0
Shonan Bellmare 4
Iwata 8
Saurcos Fukui 1
Hokkaido University 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 4
Kashima Antlers 3
Sony Sendai 0
Sagawa Printing 0
Kyoto 4
Kumamoto 2
Tokushima 1
Fukuoka Univ. 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
1/16-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
Tochigi SC 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu 0
Nagano Parceiro 1
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Okayama 0
Albirex Niigata 0
Oita Trinita 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Verdy 0
Urawa Reds 2
Montedio Yamagata 3
Cerezo Osaka 4
Vissel Kobe 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Sagan Tosu 3
FC Tokyo 2
Chiba 1
Gamba Osaka 0
Omiya Ardija 1
Shimizu S-Pulse 3
Kanazawa 2
Mito 1
Vegalta Sendai 2
Kofu 1
Shonan Bellmare 0
Iwata 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kashima Antlers 2
Kyoto 1
Kumamoto 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
1/8-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Nagano Parceiro 1
Kashiwa Reysol 0
Oita Trinita 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Montedio Yamagata 0
Cerezo Osaka 1
Sagan Tosu 2
FC Tokyo 3
Omiya Ardija 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Kofu 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0
Kashima Antlers 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Quarter-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Oita Trinita 1
Kawasaki Frontale 0
Sagan Tosu 2
FC Tokyo 2
Vegalta Sendai 1
Kofu 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Semi-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Sagan Tosu 0
FC Tokyo 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Final
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0
