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Stadium Background

Okinawa vs Kyoto

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyoto in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyoto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Okinawa
15%
Draws
34%
Kyoto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okinawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Kyoto have won more games recently than Okinawa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Okinawa Clean Sheet 14%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okinawa Kyoto
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 2
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.34
Goals Conceded 3.3 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Okinawa vs Kyoto
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okinawa 35 / 100
Kyoto 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okinawa Kyoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyoto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyoto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Kyoto lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Okinawa scored in 50% of their last 10 games.

Scoring Trends

Okinawa VS Kyoto
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Okinawa

(Home)
26 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 1
Okinawa
19 Aug
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 2
Okinawa
16 Jan
Okinawa
1 : 6
Kyoto
11 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 0
Okinawa
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1
Verspah Oita
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Kyoto

(Away)
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
06 Sept
FC Tokyo
2 : 0
Kyoto
02 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1
Kyoto
29 Aug
Kyoto
2 : 1
Avispa Fukuoka
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