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Stadium Background

OKMK vs Neftchi Fargona

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Abdurazzakov N.
46'
Sub
Perica S. In: Marusic Z.
Out: Perica S.
63'
Sub
Ratinho In: Jovovic V.
Out: Ratinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
OKMK
30%
Draws
34%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than OKMK.
  • OKMK are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
OKMK Clean Sheet 11%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 22
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Neftchi Fargona
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs OKMK
1:0
May 19, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Neftchi Fargona
2:2
Oct 28, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Neftchi Fargona
1:2
May 26, 2024 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs OKMK
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 35 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Neftchi Fargona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: OKMK scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Neftchi Fargona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Neftchi Fargona
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210