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OKMK vs Neftchi Fargona

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Abdurazzakov N.
46'
Sub
Perica S. In: Marusic Z.
Out: Perica S.
63'
Sub
Ratinho In: Jovovic V.
Out: Ratinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
OKMK
40%
Draws
29%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than OKMK.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
OKMK Clean Sheet 12%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Neftchi Fargona
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs OKMK
1:0
May 19, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Neftchi Fargona
2:2
Oct 28, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Neftchi Fargona
1:2
May 26, 2024 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs OKMK
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 30 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Neftchi Fargona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: OKMK scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Neftchi Fargona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Neftchi Fargona
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona12101127:431
2Pakhtakor1283123:1327
3Navbahor Namangan1262416:1120
4Buxoro1262416:1320
5OKMK1254317:1619
6Bunyodkor1261514:1419
7Lok. Tashkent1253415:1518
8Nasaf Qarshi1245315:1217
9Andijan1251617:1316
10Termez Surkhon1243513:1915
11Din. Samarkand1242619:2214
12Xorazm Urganch123459:1513
13Qizilqum124179:1713
14Sogdiana1233621:2512
15Kokand 19121225510:1611
16Mashal Muborak1210115:213