Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Lucas Africo
11'
Jorginho G.
15' Event
Jukkola O.
Assist: Gual M.

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Okzhetpes
22%
Draws
60%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Okzhetpes haven't matched Kairat Almaty's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kairat Almaty have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes
5:0
Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes
1:2
Jul 15, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumannonov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Jukkola O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Africo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 18 / 100
Kairat Almaty 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kairat Almaty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Okzhetpes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Kairat Almaty
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Jul
Okzhetpes
2 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
12 Jul
Tobol
3 : 1
Okzhetpes
02 Jul
Kairat Almaty
5 : 0
Okzhetpes
27 Jun
Okzhetpes
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
21 Jun
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Tobol
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Kairat Almaty

(Away)
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Sutjeska
02 Jul
Kairat Almaty
5 : 0
Okzhetpes
27 Jun
Okzhetpes
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty19126137:1342
2Ordabasy17124130:1240
3Okzhetpes1886424:2430
4FC Astana1785425:1929
5Ulytau1876515:1627
6Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1857615:2022
9Tobol1854920:2619
10Kaisar Kyzylorda19310614:2119
11Atyrau1739513:1618
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan1846821:2718
13Kaspij Aktau18531016:2318
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar18441018:2616
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)