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Okzhetpes vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2024 Okzhetpes Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Okzhetpes play Akzhayik Uralsk in the First Division 2024. Okzhetpes are favorites here. Recently, Okzhetpes averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Akzhayik Uralsk averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. In past meetings, Okzhetpes won 3, Akzhayik Uralsk won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 2, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Okzhetpes and 1.56 for Akzhayik Uralsk. This points to a Okzhetpes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Okzhetpes
18%
Draws
25%
Akzhayik Uralsk
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Okzhetpes picked up more points recently compared to Akzhayik Uralsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 15%
Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Akzhayik Uralsk
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.65 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.96

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2024 First League
Okzhetpes vs Akzhayik Uralsk
2:0
Jun 27, 2024 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Okzhetpes
0:2
Sep 9, 2017 Premier League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Okzhetpes
2:0
Jun 18, 2017 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Akzhayik Uralsk
2:1
Apr 12, 2017 Premier League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Okzhetpes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Porokh Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zyabko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 54 / 100
Akzhayik Uralsk 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Akzhayik Uralsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Okzhetpes & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Okzhetpes attacking → ← attacking Akzhayik Uralsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Akzhayik Uralsk let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Okzhetpes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Akzhayik Uralsk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 24
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Okzhetpes28203561:1663
2Ulytau28193669:2960
3Kaspij Aktau28184663:2958
4Kairat Almaty 228183767:4357
5Khan Tengri28174755:3055
6FC Ekibastuz28163954:3651
7Zhetisay28146850:3748
8Taraz281251137:3441
9Altai281151231:3738
10SD Family28941553:6431
11Akzhayik Uralsk28731824:4824
12Kaisar Kyzylorda 228571623:5622
13Turkistan28471726:7019
14Aktobe 228332225:7312
15Arys28541928:6410
16FK Kyran00000:00