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Okzhetpes vs Igilik Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022 Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
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Match Events

1' Event
Bolov R.
44' Event
Bolov R.
56' Event
Gunchenko V.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Okzhetpes and Igilik finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Okzhetpes
15%
Draws
28%
Igilik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Okzhetpes come out ahead of Igilik on wins alone.
  • Model gives Okzhetpes a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Okzhetpes have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 20%
Igilik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Igilik
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Okzhetpes
0:5
Jun 25, 2022 First League
Okzhetpes vs Igilik
5:0
Oct 29, 2021 First League
Okzhetpes vs Igilik
6:0
Apr 11, 2021 First League
Igilik vs Okzhetpes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gunchenko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Igilik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 85 / 100
Igilik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Igilik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Igilik let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Okzhetpes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 8

Igilik

(Away)
05 Nov
Igilik
4 : 5
Turkistan
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
21 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 4
Igilik
16 Oct
Igilik
2 : 1
FK Kyran
09 Oct
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Igilik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)