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Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Lucas Africo
11'
Jorginho G.
15' Event
Jukkola O.
Assist: Gual M.

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Okzhetpes
22%
Draws
60%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Okzhetpes haven't matched Kairat Almaty's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kairat Almaty have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes
5:0
Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes
1:2
Jul 15, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Kairat Almaty
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumannonov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Jukkola O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Africo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 18 / 100
Kairat Almaty 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Kairat Almaty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kairat Almaty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Okzhetpes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Kairat Almaty
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty19126137:1342
2Ordabasy17124130:1240
3Okzhetpes1886424:2430
4FC Astana1785425:1929
5Ulytau1876515:1627
6Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1857615:2022
9Tobol1854920:2619
10Kaisar Kyzylorda19310614:2119
11Atyrau1739513:1618
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan1846821:2718
13Kaspij Aktau18531016:2318
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar18441018:2616
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211