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Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022 Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sedelnikov V.
19' Event
Buribaev N.
23' Event
Buribaev N.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Okzhetpes and Shakhtar Bulat finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Okzhetpes
20%
Draws
38%
Shakhtar Bulat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Okzhetpes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Okzhetpes are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Okzhetpes have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 19%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Shakhtar Bulat
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Okzhetpes
0:4
May 28, 2022 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
6:0
Aug 28, 2021 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Okzhetpes
0:2
May 11, 2021 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
2:1
Aug 20, 2018 First League
Okzhetpes vs Shakhtar Bulat
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Buribaev N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sarsenov S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 42 / 100
Shakhtar Bulat 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Shakhtar Bulat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Shakhtar Bulat let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Shakhtar Bulat registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Jul
Okzhetpes
2 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
12 Jul
Tobol
3 : 1
Okzhetpes
02 Jul
Kairat Almaty
5 : 0
Okzhetpes
27 Jun
Okzhetpes
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
21 Jun
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Tobol
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Shakhtar Bulat

(Away)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
28 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
0 : 1
Zhenis
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)