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Ol. Grudziadz vs Podhale Nowy Targ

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Surzyn M.
Assist: Nowak A.
23' Event
Marcinho
Assist: Baniowski F.
46'
Sub
Stec J. In: Szafranek W.
Out: Stec J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Ol. Grudziadz and Podhale Nowy Targ finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Podhale Nowy Targ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ol. Grudziadz
15%
Draws
46%
Podhale Nowy Targ
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Podhale Nowy Targ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ol. Grudziadz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Podhale Nowy Targ are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Podhale Nowy Targ have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 10%
Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ol. Grudziadz Podhale Nowy Targ
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.24 2
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 2
Ol. Grudziadz vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1:3
Feb 22, 2026 Division 2
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Division 2
Ol. Grudziadz vs Podhale Nowy Targ
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Szafranek W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Podhale Nowy Targ Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Surzyn M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ol. Grudziadz 26 / 100
Podhale Nowy Targ 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ol. Grudziadz Podhale Nowy Targ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podhale Nowy Targ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ol. Grudziadz scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Podhale Nowy Targ conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ol. Grudziadz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ol. Grudziadz VS Podhale Nowy Targ
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ol. Grudziadz

(Home)
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
06 Sept
Slask Wroclaw II
0 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
Page 1 of 6

Podhale Nowy Targ

(Away)
03 Oct
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
19 Sept
Legia II
3 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
05 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Sandecja Nowy S.
01 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
3 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Leczna 10 6 2 2 21:10 20
3 Tychy 10 5 5 0 14:6 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 10 5 2 3 20:18 17
5 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
6 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 10 5 1 4 15:11 16
7 Zielona Gora 10 4 3 3 20:16 15
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Sandecja Nowy S. 10 4 3 3 14:11 15
10 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
11 Chojniczanka 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
12 Avia Swidnik 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
14 Legia II 9 3 0 6 18:17 9
15 Slask Wroclaw II 9 3 0 6 15:17 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)