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Stadium Background

Olancho vs Verdes

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa
Olancho Logo

Olancho

3 - 2
FT
Verdes Logo

Verdes

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Burgos J.
17' Event
Fernandez C.
39' Event
Almendarez O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olancho in this CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Olancho
30%
Draws
0%
Verdes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olancho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Olancho have won more games recently than Verdes.
  • Olancho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Olancho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olancho, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Olancho Clean Sheet 68%
Verdes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olancho Verdes
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 12 1
Draws 11 3
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.33 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.97 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2023 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Olancho vs Verdes
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olancho Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almendarez O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Verdes Compare

Top Goalscorer Burgos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olancho 95 / 100
Verdes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olancho Verdes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olancho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olancho scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Verdes has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Olancho has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olancho VS Verdes
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olancho

(Home)
23 Aug
Olancho
1 : 1
Olimpia
17 Aug
Olancho
1 : 0
Juticalpa
08 Aug
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 1
Olancho
02 Aug
Estrella
0 : 1
Olancho
15 May
Genesis FC
1 : 1
Olancho
Page 1 of 6

Verdes

(Away)
19 Aug
Cartagines
4 : 0
Verdes
13 Aug
FAS
4 : 1
Verdes
07 Aug
Verdes
0 : 1
Municipal
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5
Motagua
21 Aug
Cartagines
8 : 1
Verdes
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 4 3 1 0 10:0 10
2 Cartagines 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
3 Union Deportivo Universitario 4 1 3 0 6:3 6
4 Coban Imperial 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
5 Jocoro 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Esteli 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Olimpia 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Xelaju 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 FAS 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Comunicaciones 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Real Espana 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
4 Aguila 4 1 0 3 2:9 3
5 Diriangen 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Motagua 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Sporting San Miguelito 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
4 Olancho 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 (Play Offs)