Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olaria vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Vasconcelos T.
86' Event
Araujo J.

AI Match Summary

Olaria in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Olaria
11%
Draws
9%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Olaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Olaria have won more games recently than Perolas Negras.
  • Win probability leans Olaria's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olaria Perolas Negras
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Perolas Negras
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Perolas Negras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasconcelos T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Perolas Negras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olaria 86 / 100
Perolas Negras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olaria Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olaria found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Perolas Negras let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Olaria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olaria VS Perolas Negras
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olaria

(Home)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
23 Jun
Olaria
4 : 0
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 7

Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)