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Olaria vs Resende

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Matheus Goiano
16' Event
Araujo J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Olaria
17%
Draws
13%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Olaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Resende lately — more wins on the board than Olaria.
  • Model gives Olaria a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olaria Resende
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Resende
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Resende
3:0
Jul 31, 2024 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Resende
3:3
Jul 5, 2023 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Resende
0:0
Feb 3, 2013 Carioca
Resende vs Olaria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olaria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Goiano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olaria 77 / 100
Resende 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olaria Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olaria scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Olaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Resende let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olaria VS Resende
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olaria

(Home)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
23 Jun
Olaria
4 : 0
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

Resende

(Away)
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
11 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)