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Stadium Background

Olaria vs Resende

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Olaria Logo

Olaria

1 - 1
FT
Resende Logo

Resende

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Matheus Goiano
16' Event
Araujo J.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Olaria
30%
Draws
31%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Resende lately — more wins on the board than Olaria.
  • Model gives Olaria a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olaria Resende
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Resende
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Resende
3:0
Jul 31, 2024 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Resende
3:3
Jul 5, 2023 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Resende
0:0
Feb 3, 2013 Carioca
Resende vs Olaria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olaria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Goiano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olaria 50 / 100
Resende 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olaria Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resende has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Olaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Resende lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olaria VS Resende
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olaria

(Home)
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 7

Resende

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)