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Olbia vs Atletico Uri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 Bruno Nespoli, Olbia
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Marroni G.
87' Event
Costanzo P.

AI Match Summary

Olbia in this Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olbia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Olbia
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Uri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olbia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olbia have won more games recently than Atletico Uri.
  • Model gives Olbia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Olbia Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Uri Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olbia Atletico Uri
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.16 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Olbia
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Atletico Uri
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Marroni G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costanzo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Atletico Uri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olbia 75 / 100
Atletico Uri 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olbia Atletico Uri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olbia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Uri lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Olbia scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Atletico Uri has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Olbia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olbia

(Home)
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1
Olbia
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Uri

(Away)
04 May
Atl. Lodigiani
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
27 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Olbia
17 Apr
Paganese
1 : 0
Atletico Uri
13 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Real Monterotondo
06 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)