Sport Picks
Olbia vs Budoni Calcio
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 Bruno Nespoli, Olbia 
Match Events
6'
6'
Ragatzu D.
AI Match Summary
Olbia in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olbia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Budoni Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Olbia.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Olbia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Olbia Clean Sheet 16%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olbia | Budoni Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.09 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Budoni Calcio
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Olbia
1:3
May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Olbia
0:1
Dec 20, 2015 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Budoni Calcio
2:1
May 20, 2015 Serie D - Play Offs
Olbia vs Budoni Calcio
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olbia Compare
Top Goalscorer Ragatzu D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55
Budoni Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olbia 36 / 100
Budoni Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olbia Budoni Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Budoni Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olbia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Olbia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Budoni Calcio has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Olbia VS Budoni Calcio
1.43 Goals Scored 1.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 38%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Olbia
(Home) 10 May
Ischia
2 : 1 Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Olbia
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1 Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2 Trastevere Calcio
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1 Olbia
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1 Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2 Trastevere Calcio
02 Apr
Olbia
1 : 1 Real Monterotondo
22 Mar
Olbia
0 : 0 Cassino
01 Mar
Olbia
1 : 0 Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Budoni Calcio
(Away) 27 Sept
US Venafro
2 : 3 Budoni Calcio
20 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 0 Anzio Calcio 1924
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2 Aranova
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
US Venafro
2 : 3 Budoni Calcio
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
26 Apr
Flaminia
0 : 1 Budoni Calcio
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1 Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scafatese | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64:46 | 60 |
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:44 | 53 |
| 4 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Albalonga | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 55:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:49 | 48 |
| 7 | Valmontone | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:50 | 48 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 36:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Budoni Calcio | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:32 | 45 |
| 11 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Ischia | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:52 | 43 |
| 14 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 15 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39:58 | 36 |
| 16 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 17 | Montespaccato | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 47:58 | 30 |
| 18 | Cassino | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:55 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)
