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Old Road vs Grenades

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
0 - 3
10:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Old Road host Grenades in the ABFA Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Old Road have averaged 3.19 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Grenades's 2.72 scored and 1.06 conceded. Head-to-head, Old Road have won 1 to Grenades's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.88 - 2.81) back Grenades to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Old Road
15%
Draws
67%
Grenades
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grenades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Grenades have won more games recently than Old Road.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Grenades here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Old Road Clean Sheet 10%
Grenades Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Old Road Grenades
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 25
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 3.19 2.72
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Grenades
0:3
Nov 30, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Old Road
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Old Road
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Grenades
1:2
Dec 10, 2022 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Grenades
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Old Road 34 / 100
Grenades 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Old Road Grenades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grenades Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Old Road scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Grenades let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Old Road remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Old Road VS Grenades
2.88 Goals Scored 3.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Old Road

(Home)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

Grenades

(Away)
10 May
Grenades
3 : 1
All Saints United
03 May
Grenades
1 : 0
Pigotts Bullets
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Grenades
4 : 0
Attacking Saints
14 Apr
Grenades
3 : 1
Garden Stars
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 22 19 2 1 65:18 59
2 All Saints United 22 18 2 2 72:19 56
3 Aston Villa 22 14 2 6 69:43 44
4 Pigotts Bullets 22 12 3 7 40:25 39
5 Old Road 22 10 6 6 75:37 36
6 Potters FC 22 9 6 7 41:36 33
7 Garden Stars 22 8 7 7 48:40 31
8 Green City 22 6 5 11 35:41 23
9 Attacking Saints 22 7 2 13 37:49 23
10 John Hughes 22 5 1 16 17:68 16
11 Ottos Rangers 22 3 2 17 24:67 11
12 Jennings Utd 22 2 0 20 10:90 6
Promotion - ABFA Premier League (Play Offs)