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Old Road vs Willikies

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Old Road in this ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Old Road.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Old Road
20%
Draws
16%
Willikies
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Old Road

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Old Road lately — more wins on the board than Willikies.
  • Old Road are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Old Road have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Old Road Clean Sheet 20%
Willikies Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Old Road Willikies
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 3.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Willikies
2:0
Feb 19, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Willikies
2:2
Apr 16, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Willikies
4:2
Jan 1, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Willikies
4:1
Apr 8, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Willikies vs Old Road
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Old Road 85 / 100
Willikies 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Old Road Willikies

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Old Road Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Old Road's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Willikies conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Willikies registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Old Road VS -
3.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Old Road

(Home)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

Willikies

(Away)
30 Mar
Willikies
1 : 2
Green City
27 Mar
Aston Villa
5 : 3
Willikies
02 Mar
John Hughes
2 : 1
Willikies
15 Feb
Willikies
2 : 2
Greenbay Hoppers
08 Feb
Grenades
5 : 0
Willikies
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 18 16 0 2 67:14 48
2 All Saints United 18 15 1 2 64:16 46
3 Aston Villa 18 12 1 5 46:24 37
4 Old Road 18 9 7 2 44:24 34
5 SAP 18 9 2 7 54:44 29
6 Swetes 18 8 4 6 29:34 28
7 Greenbay Hoppers 18 7 4 7 29:32 25
8 Ottos Rangers 18 8 1 9 30:40 25
9 Tryum 18 8 1 9 27:37 25
10 Willikies 18 7 3 8 32:29 24
11 Empire FC 18 7 3 8 42:42 24
12 Parham 18 7 3 8 32:36 24
13 Pigotts Bullets 18 6 5 7 21:26 23
14 Blue Jays 18 3 1 14 18:48 10
15 Liberta 18 1 3 14 22:67 6
16 Five Islands 18 0 3 15 15:59 3
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)