Sport Picks
Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons
England
League Two 2025/2026 Boundary Park, Oldham 
Match Events
30'
30'
Ekpiteta M.
Assist: Nelson C.
56'
56'
Sub
Taylor K. In: Hawkes J.
Out: Taylor K.
56'
56'
Sub
Kavanagh C. In: Garner J.
Out: Kavanagh C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Oldham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Milton Keynes Dons have won more games recently than Oldham.
- Win probability leans Oldham's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Oldham Clean Sheet 68%
Milton Keynes Dons Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oldham | Milton Keynes Dons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Milton Keynes Dons vs Oldham
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Oldham
0:0
Jan 29, 2019 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Oldham
2:1
Aug 4, 2018 League Two
Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oldham Compare
Top Goalscorer Fondop-Talum M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Milton Keynes Dons Compare
Top Goalscorer Ekpiteta M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oldham 68 / 100
Milton Keynes Dons 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oldham Milton Keynes Dons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OLD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Oldham scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Milton Keynes Dons conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Milton Keynes Dons's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Oldham VS Milton Keynes Dons
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Oldham
(Home) 01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0 Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3 Bolton
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0 Accrington
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0 Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3 Bolton
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0 Accrington
18 Apr
Oldham
1 : 2 Salford
Page 1 of 3
Milton Keynes Dons
(Away) 01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
28 Jul
Barnet
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
25 Jul
Wealdstone
2 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
22 Jul
Tottenham
1 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
17 Jul
Istra 1961
2 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
28 Jul
Barnet
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
25 Jul
Wealdstone
2 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
22 Jul
Tottenham
1 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
17 Jul
Istra 1961
2 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
