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Ole Brasil vs Guariba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Ole Brasil and Guariba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guariba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ole Brasil
15%
Draws
40%
Guariba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ole Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guariba come out ahead of Ole Brasil on wins alone.
  • Ole Brasil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ole Brasil Clean Sheet 20%
Guariba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ole Brasil Guariba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2011 Paulista A4
Ole Brasil vs Guariba
0:1
May 1, 2011 Paulista A4
Guariba vs Ole Brasil
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ole Brasil 85 / 100
Guariba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ole Brasil Guariba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ole Brasil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ole Brasil scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Guariba has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Ole Brasil has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ole Brasil VS Guariba
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ole Brasil

(Home)
16 Aug
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 0
Ole Brasil
08 Aug
Ole Brasil
2 : 0
Sao Carlos
01 Aug
Ole Brasil
6 : 0
Desportivo
26 Jul
Amparo SP
1 : 2
Ole Brasil
19 Jul
Palmeirinha SP
1 : 1
Ole Brasil
Page 1 of 6

Guariba

(Away)
21 Sept
Guariba
2 : 1
Paulinia
17 Sept
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Guariba
13 Sept
Gremio Prudente
3 : 4
Guariba
07 Sept
Guariba
4 : 3
Gremio Prudente
03 Sept
Guariba
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 12 5 5 2 17:14 20
2 Bandeirante 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
3 Fernandopolis 12 5 4 3 14:7 19
4 Tupa 12 4 5 3 12:13 17
5 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 3 5 4 13:12 14
6 Tanabi 12 2 5 5 8:13 11
7 Assisense 12 3 1 8 9:21 10
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 12 7 5 0 25:12 26
2 Guariba 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
3 Ole Brasil 12 7 0 5 20:17 21
4 Olimpia FC 12 5 3 4 19:12 18
5 Jaboticabal Atletico 12 5 3 4 26:22 18
6 Americo EC 12 2 1 9 21:31 7
7 Matonense 12 1 2 9 7:36 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 2 0 17:3 26
2 Palmeirinha SP 10 5 4 1 17:6 19
3 Guacuano 10 5 3 2 11:7 18
4 Brasilis 10 4 2 4 16:12 14
5 Sao Judas Tadeu 10 1 1 8 9:18 4
6 Lencoense 10 1 0 9 9:33 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 14 9 1 4 26:16 28
2 Sumare 14 7 4 3 18:13 25
3 Cotia 14 6 5 3 27:23 23
4 Capivariano 14 5 6 3 30:20 21
5 Primavera EC 14 5 5 4 17:15 20
6 SKA Brasil 14 5 3 6 18:18 18
7 Lemense 14 4 2 8 16:30 14
8 Elosport 14 1 2 11 12:29 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarulhos 14 10 0 4 27:16 30
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 FC Primeira Camisa 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
4 ECUS SP 14 6 2 6 12:15 20
5 Uniao Suzano 14 5 4 5 21:18 19
6 Jacarei FC 14 5 3 6 14:18 18
7 Manthiqueira 14 2 4 8 10:22 10
8 Uniao Mogi 14 2 2 10 13:28 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 14 10 1 3 21:7 31
2 Sao Vicente 14 9 2 3 29:19 29
3 EC Sao Bernardo 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
4 Guaruja 14 7 2 5 19:16 23
5 Mauaense 14 6 4 4 27:17 22
6 Jabaquara 14 7 0 7 21:24 21
7 Nacional SP 14 1 2 11 16:32 5
8 Palestra 14 1 1 12 8:38 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)