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Oleiros vs Sousense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Oleiros advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Oleiros
15%
Draws
32%
Sousense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oleiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sousense haven't matched Oleiros's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Oleiros's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Oleiros have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oleiros, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Oleiros Clean Sheet 20%
Sousense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleiros Sousense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.77 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2017 Taça de Portugal
Oleiros vs Sousense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleiros 67 / 100
Sousense 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleiros Sousense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousense let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Oleiros found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Oleiros has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oleiros VS Sousense
0.38 Goals Scored 0.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 67%
0% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleiros

(Home)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
Oleiros
24 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 0
UC Idanhense
Page 1 of 6

Sousense

(Away)
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
25 Jul
Sousense
2 : 1
Uniao Lamas
22 Apr
Sousense
2 : 1
Gondomar
15 Apr
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
08 Apr
Sousense
0 : 2
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Resende 1
Lamego 0
Uniao Lamas 2
Canelas 2010 3
Operario 2
Charneca Caparica 0
Recreativo Canaviais 1
Guadalupe 4
Pedras Salgadas 2
CDC Montalegre 0
Machico 0
FC Felgueiras 4
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Electrico FC 3
Mosteirense 0
Macao 0
Fatima 4
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 3
Regua 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguia Vimioso 1
Desportivo Moncao 0
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 1
Lusitano FCV 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Ferreiras 2
Moura AC 5
Lusitano GC 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
GD Coruchense 2
Pero Pinheiro 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Cova De Piedade -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 3
Minas de Argozelo 5
Pedras Rubras 3
Camacha 1
Agueda 0
Anadia 1
Amarante FC 1
AD Fafe 0
TBD -
Varzim -
Almodovar 5
CDR Quarteirense 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Sporting Ideal 3
AD Oliveirense 5
Sendim 0
Vilafranquense 1
Mafra 2
Mortagua FC 5
Figueirense 1
GS Loures 1
Torreense 2
GD Uniao Torcatense 2
Esposende 1
Oriental 1
Lusitano VRSA 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Vilaverdense FC 2
GD Braganca 0
Tocha 1
Esmoriz 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Sintrense 2
FC Crato 1
Aroes 0
Trofense 1
Covilha -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Vizela 3
Famalicao -
TBD -
Rio Tinto 0
Coimbroes 1
SC Salgueiros 3
Cinfaes 2
FC Flamengos 0
Alta Lisboa 4
Oleiros 1
Alcanenense 0
Paredes 0
Sousense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Crato -
TBD -
SC Sabugal 2
Sanjoanense 3
Sao Martinho 2
SC Vila Real 1
Riachense 0
UC Idanhense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria e Marrazes -
TBD -
TBD -
Pinhalnovense -
Olhanense 3
Almancilense 1
TBD -
Lamego -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sertanense -
Marinhense 2
Sertanense 0
TBD -
Oriental -
Gafanha 1
Nogueirense 0
TBD -
SC Lourinhanense -
Maria de Fonte 2
SC Mirandela 1
Camara de Lobos 0
Freamunde 2
Leiria 3
GD Sourense 0
Leiria e Marrazes 1
SB Castelo Branco 5
Moncarapachense 1
Armacenenses 0
Alianca de Gandra 0
SC Espinho 1
SC Vila Real -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aves -
Caldas SC 2
SC Lourinhanense 0
SC Lusitania 0
Montijo 3
Aguias do Moradal 2
Alcains 1
Ferreira de Aves 0
FC Cesarense 1
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Mondinense -
Sacavenense 2
1º Dezembro 0
TBD -
Arouca -
Nacional -
TBD -
SC Pombal 0
Condeixa 3
Real SC -
TBD -
Cerveira 1
Merelinense 3
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
SC Praiense 4
Vale Formoso 1
Castrense 1
Louletano 2
GD Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcains -
Casa Pia 2
Pinhalnovense 0
TBD -
Recreativo Canaviais -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Estoril -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amora 3
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
SC Farense 7
1/64-finals
Moreirense -
TBD -
GD Resende 0
Canelas 2010 3
Operario 3
Guadalupe 2
Pedras Salgadas 1
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves -
TBD -
Electrico FC 2
Fatima 4
BSAD -
TBD -
Gondomar 0
Santa Clara 1
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Aguia Vimioso 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 3
Academico Viseu 1
Lusitano FCV 0
TBD -
Feirense -
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gil Vicente 0
Moura AC 1
Lusitano GC 4
Pero Pinheiro 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Cova De Piedade 4
Minas de Argozelo 0
Pedras Rubras 0
Anadia 4
Amarante FC 1
Varzim 0
Almodovar 0
Sporting Ideal 1
AD Oliveirense 2
Mafra 1
Mortagua FC 0
Torreense 2
GD Uniao Torcatense 2
Lusitano VRSA 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Vilaverdense FC 1
Esmoriz 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Sintrense 1
Trofense 0
Covilha 1
Vizela 2
Famalicao 3
Coimbroes 1
SC Salgueiros 2
Alta Lisboa 3
Oleiros 3
Sousense 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
FC Crato 0
Sanjoanense 3
Sao Martinho 4
UC Idanhense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Leiria e Marrazes 0
Pinhalnovense 4
Olhanense 4
Lamego 1
TBD -
Benfica -
U. Madeira 2
Sertanense 0
Marinhense 0
Oriental 1
Gafanha 3
SC Lourinhanense 2
Maria de Fonte 2
Freamunde 4
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 0
Moncarapachense 0
SC Espinho 1
SC Vila Real 1
Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Aves -
Caldas SC 1
Montijo 0
Aguias do Moradal 2
FC Cesarense 3
GD Coruchense 5
Mondinense 2
Sacavenense 0
Arouca 1
Nacional 3
Condeixa 1
Real SC 1
Merelinense 3
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
SC Mirandela 1
Academica 2
SC Praiense 2
Louletano 0
GD Braganca 1
Alcains 2
Casa Pia 5
Recreativo Canaviais 0
Penafiel 0
Vilafranquense 1
Leixoes 2
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Tondela -
Estoril -
TBD -
Amora 2
SC Farense 3
1/32-finals
Moreirense 3
Canelas 2010 1
Operario 2
FC Felgueiras 4
Chaves 3
Fatima 0
BSAD 1
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 6
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Academico Viseu 0
Feirense 1
Portimonense 1
Moura AC 0
Lusitano GC 0
FC Porto 6
Cova De Piedade 2
Anadia 1
Amarante FC 1
Sporting Ideal 2
AD Oliveirense 1
Torreense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 0
Maritimo 1
Vilaverdense FC 1
Boavista 0
Sintrense 1
Vizela 3
Famalicao 2
Alta Lisboa 0
Oleiros 2
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 4
Sanjoanense 0
Sao Martinho 2
Braga 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 1
U. Madeira 3
Oriental 2
Gafanha 0
Freamunde 1
Leiria 2
SC Espinho 0
SC Vila Real 0
Aves 1
Caldas SC 2
FC Cesarense 1
GD Coruchense 0
Arouca 3
Nacional 4
Merelinense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Academica 2
SC Praiense 4
Alcains 1
Casa Pia 1
Vilafranquense 2
Leixoes 3
Tondela 2
Estoril 0
SC Farense 1
1/16-finals
Moreirense 5
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves 0
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 1
Portimonense 2
FC Porto 3
Cova De Piedade 4
Sporting Ideal 1
AD Oliveirense 2
Maritimo 3
Vilaverdense FC 3
Vizela 2
Famalicao 0
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 2
U. Madeira 4
Freamunde 2
Leiria 0
Aves 3
Caldas SC 2
Arouca 1
Nacional 0
Academica 1
SC Praiense 3
Vilafranquense 2
Leixoes 1
SC Farense 2
1/8-finals
Moreirense 3
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
FC Porto 4
Cova De Piedade 1
Maritimo 0
Vilaverdense FC 0
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 3
Benfica 2
U. Madeira 1
Aves 5
Caldas SC 2
Academica 1
SC Praiense 0
SC Farense 1
Quarter-finals
Moreirense 1
FC Porto 2
Cova De Piedade 1
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 4
Aves 5
Caldas SC 3
SC Farense 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 1
Sporting CP 2
Aves 3
Caldas SC 1
Final
Sporting CP 1
Aves 2