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Oleiros vs Vitoria Sernache

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022
Oleiros Logo

Oleiros

1 - 1
FT
Vitoria Sernache Logo

Vitoria Sernache

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 game between Oleiros and Vitoria Sernache finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Oleiros
15%
Draws
32%
Vitoria Sernache
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oleiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria Sernache carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Oleiros's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Oleiros Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleiros Vitoria Sernache
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oleiros vs Vitoria Sernache
1:1
Sep 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Sernache vs Oleiros
1:2
Feb 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oleiros vs Vitoria Sernache
3:1
Nov 4, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Vitoria Sernache vs Oleiros
4:4
Jan 25, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Oleiros
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleiros 59 / 100
Vitoria Sernache 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleiros Vitoria Sernache

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Oleiros has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vitoria Sernache's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Oleiros's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria Sernache
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleiros

(Home)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
Oleiros
24 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 0
UC Idanhense
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Vitoria Sernache

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Fontinhas 18 14 2 2 32:15 44
2 Sertanense 18 12 3 3 30:12 39
3 Marinhense 18 7 6 5 19:18 27
4 SC Praiense 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
5 Vitoria Sernache 18 4 9 5 24:24 21
6 GD Peniche 18 5 6 7 20:22 21
7 Oleiros 18 5 5 8 11:17 20
8 SB Castelo Branco 18 4 7 7 13:19 19
9 Condeixa 18 6 1 11 21:23 19
10 UC Idanhense 18 1 9 8 18:35 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)