Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oleksandriya vs Nyva Ternopil

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Sub
Demydenko A. In: Gerega O.
Out: Demydenko A.
45' Event
Burtnyk V.
Own Goal
47'
Vyshynskyi B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Oleksandriya
20%
Draws
23%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oleksandriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Oleksandriya have won more games recently than Nyva Ternopil.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Oleksandriya taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 68%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleksandriya Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.32 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs Nyva Ternopil
1:1
Apr 14, 2015 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandriya
0:1
Aug 31, 2014 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs Nyva Ternopil
3:0
May 18, 2014 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandriya
2:4
Oct 4, 2013 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs Nyva Ternopil
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oleksandriya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Top Goalscorer Boryachuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleksandriya 86 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleksandriya Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleksandriya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oleksandriya scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Nyva Ternopil conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Oleksandriya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oleksandriya VS Nyva Ternopil
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleksandriya

(Home)
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
05 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Oleksandriya
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
22 Aug
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 4
Bukovyna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
2 SC Poltava 8 4 3 1 12:3 15
3 Oleksandriya 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Kulikiv 8 4 2 2 17:8 14
5 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 8 4 1 3 14:12 13
7 Fenix Mariupol 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
8 Inhulets 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
9 Metalist Kharkiv 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
10 UCSA 8 2 3 3 12:14 9
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 8 3 0 5 8:15 9
12 Nyva Ternopil 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
13 Lokomotyv Kyiv 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
14 FC Chernihiv 7 1 4 2 8:9 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
16 Probiy Horodenka 8 0 2 6 6:24 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)