Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Ibe C.
16'
16'
Fornari M.
20'
20'
Belingheri G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Olginatese and Caravaggio finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Caravaggio come out ahead of Olginatese on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Olginatese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 68%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olginatese | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Caravaggio
1:3
Oct 3, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Olginatese
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Olginatese
3:2
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Caravaggio
1:3
Jan 8, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Caravaggio
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olginatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Belingheri G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Caravaggio Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibe C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fornari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olginatese 77 / 100
Caravaggio 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olginatese Caravaggio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaggio let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Olginatese scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Olginatese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Caravaggio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Olginatese
(Home) 15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3 Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
14 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
03 Apr
Olginatese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 3
Caravaggio
(Away) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 7
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
30 Mar
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0 Caravaggio
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
16 Feb
Este
3 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 81:39 | 82 |
| 2 | Legnano | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 49:44 | 66 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 70:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Brusaporto | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 62:49 | 64 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 57:46 | 63 |
| 6 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 65:49 | 63 |
| 7 | Breno | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56:43 | 58 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 66:56 | 58 |
| 9 | Arconatese | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 62:58 | 57 |
| 10 | Franciacorta | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 73:80 | 52 |
| 11 | Crema | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:52 | 46 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 50:55 | 46 |
| 13 | Sona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:56 | 45 |
| 14 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 54:56 | 44 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:39 | 44 |
| 16 | Villa Valle | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49:56 | 39 |
| 17 | Caravaggio | 38 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 41:62 | 37 |
| 18 | Vis Nova Giussano | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 56:77 | 35 |
| 19 | Olginatese | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:60 | 35 |
| 20 | AC Leon | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 50:88 | 33 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)
