Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olginatese vs Ciserano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Olginatese
20%
Draws
22%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ciserano at 1.2 per game, Olginatese at 1.1.
  • Model gives Olginatese a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese Ciserano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Ciserano
0:0
Sep 23, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Olginatese
4:0
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Olginatese
0:2
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Ciserano
2:1
Feb 14, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Olginatese
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 85 / 100
Ciserano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Olginatese found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Olginatese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olginatese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)