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Olginatese vs Darfo Boario

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Olginatese
20%
Draws
22%
Darfo Boario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Darfo Boario have won more games recently than Olginatese.
  • Olginatese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 68%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese Darfo Boario
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Darfo Boario
0:0
Nov 14, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Olginatese
1:0
Feb 19, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Olginatese
2:0
Oct 16, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Darfo Boario
1:0
Mar 9, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Darfo Boario
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 95 / 100
Darfo Boario 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese Darfo Boario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Darfo Boario conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Olginatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Darfo Boario lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olginatese VS Darfo Boario
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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Darfo Boario

(Away)
14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5
Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3
Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)