Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Olginatese in this Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olginatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olginatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Olginatese lately — more wins on the board than MapelloBonate.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Olginatese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Olginatese here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 20%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olginatese | MapelloBonate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs MapelloBonate
2:1
Dec 13, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Olginatese
2:5
Mar 15, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs MapelloBonate
3:1
Nov 2, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Olginatese
1:2
Jan 26, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Olginatese
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olginatese 40 / 100
MapelloBonate 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olginatese MapelloBonate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: MapelloBonate conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Olginatese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Olginatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Olginatese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Olginatese
(Home) 15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3 Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
Page 1 of 7
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
14 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
03 Apr
Olginatese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 4
MapelloBonate
(Away) 08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2 Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2 MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 MapelloBonate
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2 MapelloBonate
03 Apr
Ciserano
1 : 1 MapelloBonate
06 Mar
Inveruno
4 : 0 MapelloBonate
27 Feb
Lecco
2 : 2 MapelloBonate
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piacenza | 38 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 85:27 | 96 |
| 2 | Lecco | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 83:41 | 80 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 63:47 | 64 |
| 4 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 48:49 | 61 |
| 5 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 63:48 | 61 |
| 6 | Olginatese | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57:50 | 56 |
| 7 | Inveruno | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 65:57 | 53 |
| 8 | Ciserano | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 48:55 | 53 |
| 9 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 52:48 | 50 |
| 10 | Monza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 52:49 | 49 |
| 11 | Grumellese | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 49:53 | 48 |
| 12 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 50:51 | 47 |
| 13 | Varesina | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Pergolettese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 38:42 | 46 |
| 15 | Bustese Milano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:58 | 45 |
| 16 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 45 |
| 17 | Caravaggio | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35:56 | 34 |
| 18 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 28:51 | 33 |
| 19 | MapelloBonate | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:59 | 31 |
| 20 | Sondrio | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 39:73 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
