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Olginatese vs Sona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Momente M.
29' Event
Angelini A.
67' Event
Strianese M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Olginatese and Sona finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Olginatese
35%
Draws
32%
Sona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sona come out ahead of Olginatese on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 68%
Sona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese Sona
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Sona
1:2
Dec 19, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Olginatese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olginatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Momente M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sona Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strianese M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 41 / 100
Sona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese Sona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sona has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Olginatese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sona
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6

Sona

(Away)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)