Sport Picks

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Olginatese vs Villa Valle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Fischetti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Olginatese and Villa Valle finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olginatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Olginatese
35%
Draws
18%
Villa Valle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Valle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Olginatese a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olginatese have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese Villa Valle
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Olginatese
0:1
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Villa Valle
1:0
Jan 6, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Olginatese
0:1
Sep 16, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Villa Valle
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olginatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischetti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Villa Valle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 49 / 100
Villa Valle 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese Villa Valle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Valle has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Olginatese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Olginatese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villa Valle
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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Villa Valle

(Away)
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)