Sport Picks
Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ramirez Antunez R. C.
21'
21'
Coronel M.
44'
44'
Santacruz J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Olimpia Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Nacional Asuncion.
- Model gives Olimpia Asuncion a 39% chance of winning this.
- Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Asuncion | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Jul 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Alcaraz A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vargas G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Asuncion 59 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Olimpia Asuncion scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Olimpia Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Nacional Asuncion conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Asuncion VS Nacional Asuncion
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Asuncion
(Home) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 8
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
23 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 4
Nacional Asuncion
(Away) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
