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Olimpia Asuncion vs San Lorenzo

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Garcia M. In: Esteche L.
Out: Garcia M.
43'
Sub
Leguizamon I. In: Quintana H.
Out: Leguizamon I.
46'
Sub
Franco Zayas A. F. In: Alcaraz A.
Out: Franco Zayas A. F.

AI Match Summary

The Copa de Primera game between Olimpia Asuncion and San Lorenzo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Olimpia Asuncion
6%
Draws
4%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Lorenzo haven't matched Olimpia Asuncion's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia Asuncion's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 20%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Asuncion San Lorenzo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Jul 19, 2023 Copa Paraguay
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Nov 1, 2020 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Aug 17, 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 85 / 100
San Lorenzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Asuncion San Lorenzo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olimpia Asuncion scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

San Lorenzo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Olimpia Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS San Lorenzo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115