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Olimpia Elblag vs Concordia Elblag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Yatsenko O.
53' Event
Noworyta K.
60' Event
Pirog J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Olimpia Elblag and Concordia Elblag finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia Elblag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Olimpia Elblag
15%
Draws
34%
Concordia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Olimpia Elblag are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia Elblag have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 12%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Concordia Elblag
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.56 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Concordia Elblag
3:2
Feb 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Concordia Elblag
5:0
Nov 22, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Olimpia Elblag vs Concordia Elblag
5:0
Aug 12, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Concordia Elblag vs Olimpia Elblag
0:0
Apr 27, 2014 Division 2 - East
Concordia Elblag vs Olimpia Elblag
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Yatsenko O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pirog J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Concordia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Noworyta K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sionkowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 83 / 100
Concordia Elblag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Concordia Elblag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Elblag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Elblag let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Olimpia Elblag scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Concordia Elblag registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Concordia Elblag
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
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Concordia Elblag

(Away)
18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Concordia Elblag
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2
GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2
Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2
Zielona Gora
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1
Concordia Elblag
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