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Olimpia Elblag vs Legia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Kordykiewicz O.
62' Event
Ryczkowski A.
76' Event
White J.

AI Match Summary

Legia II in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Olimpia Elblag
40%
Draws
29%
Legia II
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legia II lately — more wins on the board than Olimpia Elblag.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Legia II have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 14%
Legia II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Legia II
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 25
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Legia II
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Olimpia Elblag
4:2
Feb 25, 2017 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Legia II
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kordykiewicz O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Legia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryczkowski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 31 / 100
Legia II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Legia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Elblag scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Olimpia Elblag went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Legia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Legia II
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315