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Olimpia Elblag vs Lidzbark Warmimski

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Elblag play Lidzbark Warmimski in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olimpia Elblag averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Lidzbark Warmimski averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Olimpia Elblag won 0, Lidzbark Warmimski won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 19, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Olimpia Elblag and 1.25 for Lidzbark Warmimski. This points to a Olimpia Elblag double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Olimpia Elblag
35%
Draws
31%
Lidzbark Warmimski
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag picked up more points recently compared to Lidzbark Warmimski.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 19%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Lidzbark Warmimski
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Elblag
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Lidzbark Warmimski
0:0
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Elblag
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 34 / 100
Lidzbark Warmimski 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Lidzbark Warmimski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olimpia Elblag or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olimpia Elblag attacking → ← attacking Lidzbark Warmimski

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Elblag scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Lidzbark Warmimski let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Olimpia Elblag went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lidzbark Warmimski lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 32
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00