Sport Picks
Olimpia Elblag vs Plock II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski, Elblag 
Match Events
51'
51'
Kaczmarek T.
71'
71'
Koscielecki M.
76'
76'
Koscielecki M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between Olimpia Elblag and Plock II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plock II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plock II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Plock II carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Elblag | Plock II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Plock II
1:2
May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Olimpia Elblag
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Plock II
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Elblag Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaczmarek T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Plock II Compare
Top Goalscorer Koscielecki M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Elblag 34 / 100
Plock II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Elblag Plock II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Plock II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Plock II let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.
Olimpia Elblag found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Olimpia Elblag went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Elblag VS Plock II
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Elblag
(Home) 03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
19 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 2 Widzew Lodz II
07 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 3
Plock II
(Away) 03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2 LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
23 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
4 : 3 Plock II
15 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 Plock II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
