Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olimpia Elblag vs Plock II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski, Elblag
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Elblag host Plock II in the III Liga - Group I. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Plock II have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Olimpia Elblag have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Olimpia Elblag slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.63, favoring Plock II. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Olimpia Elblag
40%
Draws
29%
Plock II
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Plock II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 14%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Plock II
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Olimpia Elblag
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Plock II
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 31 / 100
Plock II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Plock II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Olimpia Elblag found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Olimpia Elblag went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Plock II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
25 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
18 Jul
Wda Swiecie
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
15 Jul
Lidzbark Warmimski
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
07 Jul
Chojniczanka
2 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

Plock II

(Away)
22 Jul
Plock II
3 : 2
Pelikan
18 Jul
Plock II
3 : 1
Wisla Dobrzyn
11 Jul
Plock II
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
23 May
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Plock II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LKS Lomza00000:00
2Pelikan00000:00
3Swit Mazowiecki00000:00
4Suwalki00000:00
5Olimpia Elblag00000:00
6MKS Mlawa00000:00
7Olimpia Zambrow00000:00
8Tomaszow Mazowiecki00000:00
9Widzew Lodz II00000:00
10Warta Sieradz00000:00
11Jagiellonia II00000:00
12Plock II00000:00
13Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki00000:00
14LKS Lodz II00000:00
15Troszyn00000:00
16Lidzbark Warmimski00000:00
17Zabkovia Zabki00000:00
18KTS Weszlo00000:00
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)