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Olimpia Elblag vs Sokol Ostroda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kasprzyk D.
15' Event
Branecki J.
34' Event
Kasprzyk D.

AI Match Summary

Sokol Ostroda in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sokol Ostroda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Olimpia Elblag
15%
Draws
42%
Sokol Ostroda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia Elblag lately — more wins on the board than Sokol Ostroda.
  • Model gives Olimpia Elblag a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Sokol Ostroda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Sokol Ostroda
2:3
Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Sokol Ostroda
5:0
Mar 5, 2022 Division 2
Olimpia Elblag vs Sokol Ostroda
1:1
Sep 29, 2021 Polish Cup
Sokol Ostroda vs Olimpia Elblag
0:0
Aug 21, 2021 Division 2
Sokol Ostroda vs Olimpia Elblag
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Branecki J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabrych M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Sokol Ostroda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasprzyk D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kventser M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 40 / 100
Sokol Ostroda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Sokol Ostroda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Elblag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olimpia Elblag scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Sokol Ostroda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Sokol Ostroda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Sokol Ostroda
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
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Sokol Ostroda

(Away)
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0
Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2
Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1
Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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