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Olimpia Elblag vs Znicz Biala Piska

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski, Elblag
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kordykiewicz O.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Konopka J.
23' Event
Wasilewski D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Olimpia Elblag and Znicz Biala Piska finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Znicz Biala Piska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Olimpia Elblag
6%
Draws
4%
Znicz Biala Piska
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia Elblag come out ahead of Znicz Biala Piska on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Olimpia Elblag taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 68%
Znicz Biala Piska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Znicz Biala Piska
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Znicz Biala Piska
2:3
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Znicz Biala Piska vs Olimpia Elblag
0:2
Apr 30, 2016 III Liga - Group V
Znicz Biala Piska vs Olimpia Elblag
0:2
Sep 26, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Olimpia Elblag vs Znicz Biala Piska
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kordykiewicz O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Znicz Biala Piska Compare

Top Goalscorer Wasilewski D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Konopka J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 95 / 100
Znicz Biala Piska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Znicz Biala Piska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Znicz Biala Piska's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Olimpia Elblag's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Olimpia Elblag stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Znicz Biala Piska
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
18 Jul
Wda Swiecie
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
15 Jul
Lidzbark Warmimski
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
07 Jul
Chojniczanka
2 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
30 May
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 6

Znicz Biala Piska

(Away)
30 May
Znicz Biala Piska
0 : 3
Legia II
23 May
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
16 May
Znicz Biala Piska
2 : 6
Zabkovia Zabki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Znicz Biala Piska
0 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)