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Olimpia Zambrow vs Plock II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Koscielecki M.
27' Event
Kempski M.
38' Event
Kempski M.

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Zambrow in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Zambrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Olimpia Zambrow
30%
Draws
41%
Plock II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plock II lately — more wins on the board than Olimpia Zambrow.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Plock II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Zambrow Plock II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Plock II
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kempski M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jakimiuk J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Koscielecki M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bielka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Zambrow 22 / 100
Plock II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Zambrow Plock II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plock II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Olimpia Zambrow's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Olimpia Zambrow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Zambrow VS Plock II
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Zambrow

(Home)
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 6

Plock II

(Away)
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)