Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010

Olkom Melitopol

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olimpik Donetsk play Olkom Melitopol in the Druha Liga 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olimpik Donetsk averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. Olkom Melitopol averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Olimpik Donetsk won 2, Olkom Melitopol won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 13, 2011 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Olimpik Donetsk and 1.05 for Olkom Melitopol. This points to a Olimpik Donetsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Olimpik Donetsk

24%

Draws

31%

Olkom Melitopol

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Olimpik Donetsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Olimpik Donetsk picked up more points recently compared to Olkom Melitopol.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Olimpik Donetsk Clean Sheet 22%

Olkom Melitopol Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olimpik Donetsk	Olkom Melitopol
Matches Played	12	32
Wins	5	8
Draws	3	5
Losses	4	19
Goals Scored	0.67	0.94
Goals Conceded	0.92	1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2011 Druha Liga

Olimpik Donetsk vs Olkom Melitopol

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sep 11, 2010 Druha Liga

Olkom Melitopol vs Olimpik Donetsk

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

May 9, 2010 Druha Liga

Olkom Melitopol vs Olimpik Donetsk

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sep 27, 2009 Druha Liga

Olimpik Donetsk vs Olkom Melitopol

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpik Donetsk 45 / 100

Olkom Melitopol 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olimpik Donetsk Olkom Melitopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olimpik Donetsk or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olimpik Donetsk attacking → ← attacking Olkom Melitopol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpik Donetsk scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Olkom Melitopol let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Olimpik Donetsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olkom Melitopol lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 29

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bukovyna	20	15	3	2	35:12	48
2	Nyva Vinnytsya	20	12	4	4	43:16	40
3	Bastion Illichivsk	20	11	7	2	44:20	40
4	MFK Mykolaiv	20	11	6	3	30:13	39
5	FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi	20	10	3	7	28:16	33
6	Yednist	20	8	5	7	22:21	29
7	FC Ros Bila Tserkva	20	6	3	11	18:30	21
8	Lviv 2	20	4	7	9	13:25	19
9	Veres Rivne	20	4	4	12	16:41	16
10	Karpaty Lviv 2	20	5	1	14	17:43	16
11	Skala Stryj	20	1	3	16	11:40	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Titan A.	26	21	3	2	50:20	66
2	Kremin	26	15	9	2	41:21	54
3	SC Poltava	26	16	6	4	34:16	54
4	Stal Kamianske	26	15	6	5	38:23	51
5	Olimpik Donetsk	26	15	4	7	45:28	49
6	Shakhter Sverdlovsk	26	13	7	6	26:15	46
7	Shakhtar 3	26	10	6	10	33:29	36
8	Sumy	26	10	6	10	32:34	36
9	Kryvbas Krivoy Rog	26	8	4	14	29:43	28
10	Olkom Melitopol	26	7	5	14	31:42	26
11	Hirnyk-Sport	26	5	7	14	21:35	22
12	FC Mariupol II	26	4	3	19	16:40	15
13	FC Dnipro 75	26	4	5	17	19:21	14
14	SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2	26	3	1	22	18:66	10