Sport Picks

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Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti, Bahía Blanca
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Amarilla C.
32'
Loscalso T.
48' Event
Coacci E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Olimpo Bahia Blanca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
30%
Draws
34%
Kimberley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kimberley haven't matched Olimpo Bahia Blanca's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Olimpo Bahia Blanca taking it.
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpo Bahia Blanca, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 68%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpo Bahia Blanca Kimberley
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 13 13
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley
3:1
Oct 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:1
Jul 25, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Amarilla C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coacci E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Kimberley Compare

Top Goalscorer Cos B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca 46 / 100
Kimberley 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Kimberley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpo Bahia Blanca went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Kimberley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpo Bahia Blanca VS Kimberley
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

(Home)
26 Jul
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 0
Santamarina
12 Jul
Germinal
0 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
05 Jul
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0 : 0
Villa Mitre
28 Jun
Circulo Deportivo
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
20 Jun
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0 : 0
Kimberley
Page 1 of 7

Kimberley

(Away)
24 Jul
Kimberley
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
05 Jul
Sol de Mayo
1 : 2
Kimberley
28 Jun
Kimberley
3 : 0
Guillermo Brown
20 Jun
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0 : 0
Kimberley
14 Jun
Kimberley
2 : 2
Alvarado
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0