Sport Picks
Olimps Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
Latvia
Virslīga 2011 
Match Events
18'
18'
59'
59'
69'
69'
AI Match Summary
FC Daugava Daugavpils in this Virslīga 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Daugava Daugavpils.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Daugava Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than Olimps Riga.
- Win probability leans FC Daugava Daugavpils's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- FC Daugava Daugavpils have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 19%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimps Riga | FC Daugava Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 1 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 26 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.6 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:3
Jul 24, 2011 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Olimps Riga
2:0
May 22, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:6
Apr 9, 2011 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Olimps Riga
2:0
Oct 31, 2010 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimps Riga 10 / 100
FC Daugava Daugavpils 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimps Riga FC Daugava Daugavpils
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Daugava Daugavpils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
FC Daugava Daugavpils has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.
Difficult form: FC Daugava Daugavpils registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Olimps Riga scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimps Riga
(Home) 13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0 Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3 Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1 Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0 Olimps Riga
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3 Jelgava
08 Oct
Olimps Riga
1 : 1 Gulbene
01 Oct
Olimps Riga
1 : 6 Ventspils
21 Sept
Olimps Riga
1 : 3 FC Daugava Daugavpils
Page 1 of 3
FC Daugava Daugavpils
(Away) 08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
Page 1 of 7
08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
28 Sept
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 4 FC Daugava Daugavpils
12 Sept
FC Jurmala
1 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 72:26 | 70 |
| 2 | Ventspils | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 73:20 | 69 |
| 3 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 59:28 | 64 |
| 4 | Skonto | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 62:21 | 60 |
| 5 | FC Jurmala | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 45:42 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 47:54 | 43 |
| 7 | Gulbene | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 39:67 | 28 |
| 8 | FK Daugava Riga | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 34:75 | 21 |
| 9 | Olimps Riga | 32 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 19:117 | 6 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
