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Olimps Riga vs FK Daugava Riga

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Virslīga 2011
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Match Events

17' Event
58' Event
78' Event

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2011 game between Olimps Riga and FK Daugava Riga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimps Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimps Riga
15%
Draws
85%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Daugava Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Daugava Riga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FK Daugava Riga taking it.
  • Regular Virslīga 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 19%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimps Riga FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.46
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2011 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Olimps Riga
4:0
Aug 28, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FK Daugava Riga
2:1
Jun 25, 2011 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Olimps Riga
2:1
May 4, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Oct 27, 2010 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Olimps Riga
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimps Riga 10 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimps Riga FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Daugava Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Daugava Riga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: FK Daugava Riga conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Olimps Riga scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Daugava Riga
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimps Riga

(Home)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
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FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)