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Olimps Riga vs Gulbene

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Virslīga 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
77' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virslīga 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimps Riga
15%
Draws
85%
Gulbene
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gulbene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gulbene lately — more wins on the board than Olimps Riga.
  • Gulbene are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gulbene have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 22%
Gulbene Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimps Riga Gulbene
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 1 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 26 1
Goals Scored 0.63 2.2
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Gulbene
1:1
Aug 21, 2011 Virsliga
Gulbene vs Olimps Riga
3:0
Jun 19, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Gulbene
1:3
Apr 30, 2011 Virsliga
Gulbene vs Olimps Riga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimps Riga 10 / 100
Gulbene 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimps Riga Gulbene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gulbene Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gulbene let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Olimps Riga scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Gulbene registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gulbene
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimps Riga

(Home)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
Page 1 of 6

Gulbene

(Away)
18 Jun
Gulbene
1 : 5
FK Karosta
04 Jun
Bauskas / Memele
0 : 3
Gulbene
08 Oct
Olimps Riga
1 : 1
Gulbene
21 Aug
Gulbene
3 : 0
Olimps Riga
19 Jun
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Gulbene

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)