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Olimps Riga vs Ventspils

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Virslīga 2011
Olimps Riga Logo

Olimps Riga

1 - 6
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Ventspils Logo

Ventspils

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Match Events

1' Event
13' Event
50' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ventspils in this Virslīga 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ventspils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimps Riga
20%
Draws
80%
Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ventspils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ventspils have won more games recently than Olimps Riga.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ventspils taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ventspils have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 28%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimps Riga Ventspils
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 1 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 26 8
Goals Scored 0.63 2.07
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Ventspils
1:6
Aug 13, 2011 Virsliga
Ventspils vs Olimps Riga
4:0
Jun 11, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Ventspils
0:8
Apr 17, 2011 Virsliga
Ventspils vs Olimps Riga
4:0
Sep 15, 2010 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Ventspils
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimps Riga 10 / 100
Ventspils 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimps Riga Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Ventspils let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Olimps Riga scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Ventspils has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ventspils
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimps Riga

(Home)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
Page 1 of 6

Ventspils

(Away)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)