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Oliveira de Frades vs Coimbroes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2015/2016
Sun, Sep 27, 2015
0 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Coimbroes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oliveira de Frades
30%
Draws
23%
Coimbroes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oliveira de Frades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Oliveira de Frades and Coimbroes close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Oliveira de Frades a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Coimbroes, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 19%
Coimbroes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira de Frades Coimbroes
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Oliveira de Frades vs Coimbroes
0:1
Sep 10, 2011 Taça de Portugal
Coimbroes vs Oliveira de Frades
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira de Frades 40 / 100
Coimbroes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira de Frades Coimbroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliveira de Frades Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbroes has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Coimbroes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Oliveira de Frades's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Coimbroes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira de Frades

(Home)
08 Sept
Oliveira de Frades
0 : 3
Mortagua FC
15 May
Lusitano FCV
1 : 0
Oliveira de Frades
08 May
Oliveira de Frades
3 : 1
Lusitania FC
30 Apr
Oliveira de Frades
1 : 2
FC Cesarense
24 Apr
Gafanha
1 : 1
Oliveira de Frades
Page 1 of 7

Coimbroes

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Cinfaes
3 : 1
Coimbroes
16 Mar
FC Alpendorada
2 : 1
Coimbroes
09 Mar
Coimbroes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 3
Oliveira do Douro 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Leiria e Marrazes -
TBD -
SC Mirandela 2
Mondinense 3
Sao Martinho 2
Aroes 0
Amiense -
TBD -
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almancilense -
TBD -
TBD -
Olhanense -
FC Pampilhosa 7
AD Estacao 0
TBD -
Mafra -
Amiense 0
SB Castelo Branco 9
TBD -
Portimonense -
Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Limianos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense 4
CF Os Gavionenses 0
AD Pontassolense 0
Minas de Argozelo 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
Cova De Piedade 1
Torreense 0
Moncarapachense 0
Lusitano VRSA 2
Covilha -
TBD -
Electrico FC 1
Alcanenense 2
Mosteirense -
TBD -
Vigor Mocidade 0
Sporting Ideal 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Crato 2
Vitoria Sernache 1
GD Alcochetense 0
GS Loures 1
SC Salgueiros 1
Cinfaes 0
Fayal 1
Aguias do Moradal 6
FC Amares 4
Aguia Vimioso 3
Alcains 0
Operario 1
Trofense 1
Sobrado 0
TBD -
Atletico CP -
Pedras Rubras 1
AD Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Sanjoanense 4
Sousense 1
Mosteirense 1
1º Dezembro 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Sabugal -
Castrense 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
TBD -
Famalicao -
SC Praiense 7
Mira Mar 0
Vitorino de Piaes 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sacavenense 2
Redondense 0
FC Barreirense 2
Malveira 5
SC Angrense 2
Academica Coimbra SF 1
Almancilense 0
Moura AC 1
Vitorino de Piaes -
TBD -
Sao Roque 0
Torre De Moncorvo 2
Varzim -
TBD -
GD Uniao Torcatense 3
Maria de Fonte 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Agueda 4
Trancoso 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Rio Tinto 3
Regua 1
Penalva do Castelo 2
Mortagua FC 3
Oliveira Hospital 2
GD Tourizense 1
TBD -
SC Farense -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bustelo -
TBD -
Neves 0
SC Vianense 1
Vilafranquense -
TBD -
TBD -
Manteigas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Amarante FC 3
SC Vila Real 2
TBD -
Sao Roque -
Lusitano FCV 2
Gafanha 0
Vilaverdense FC 1
GD Braganca 2
Lusitania FC 1
Bustelo 0
Carregal do Sal 2
Estarreja 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Chaves -
TBD -
Tomar 0
Leiria 7
Freamunde -
TBD -
Juv. Evora 0
Louletano 5
Leixoes -
TBD -
Atletico SC 0
Pinhalnovense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Camacha 2
Pedras Salgadas 1
CD Rabo Peixe 1
Uniao 4
Naval 3
Nogueirense 1
Praia Milfontes 2
Viana Alentejo 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Casa Pia 1
Vilafranquense 3
Leiria e Marrazes 0
Alcobaca 1
Real SC 3
Sintrense 1
TBD -
Oriental -
GD Coruchense 2
Povoense 1
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Penafiel -
TBD -
Amora 1
Lagoa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
Manteigas 0
Oliveira de Frades 4
Gafanha -
TBD -
Vizela 0
AD Fafe 1
Caldas SC 2
GD Peniche 1
FC Felgueiras 0
Tirsense 1
GD Alcochetense -
TBD -
AD Limianos 0
Atletico Arcos 1
Gondomar 2
Coimbroes 1
SC Sabugal 3
Anadia 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
1/64-finals
Gil Vicente 5
Oliveira do Douro 3
TBD -
Tondela -
Leiria e Marrazes 3
Mondinense 2
Sao Martinho 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
BSAD -
TBD -
Almancilense 0
Olhanense 2
FC Pampilhosa 1
Mafra 0
Amiense 0
Portimonense 1
Aves 1
AD Limianos 0
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense 3
Minas de Argozelo 1
TBD -
U. Madeira -
Cova De Piedade 2
Lusitano VRSA 1
Covilha 2
Alcanenense 3
Mosteirense 2
Sporting Ideal 0
TBD -
Nacional -
Boavista -
TBD -
FC Crato 0
GS Loures 2
SC Salgueiros 2
Aguias do Moradal 1
FC Amares 1
Operario 2
Trofense 3
Atletico CP 2
Pedras Rubras 0
Santa Clara 1
Sanjoanense 3
1º Dezembro 2
TBD -
Academica -
Feirense 2
SC Sabugal 0
Castrense 0
Famalicao 5
SC Praiense 4
CDC Montalegre 0
Sacavenense 0
Malveira 3
SC Angrense 2
Moura AC 1
Vitorino de Piaes 0
Torre De Moncorvo 1
Varzim 2
Maria de Fonte 0
TBD -
FC Porto -
Braga -
TBD -
Agueda 0
Academico Viseu 2
Rio Tinto 2
Mortagua FC 1
Oliveira Hospital 3
SC Farense 4
Benfica -
TBD -
Bustelo 2
SC Vianense 3
Vilafranquense 8
Manteigas 1
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Amarante FC 8
Sao Roque 0
Lusitano FCV 1
GD Braganca 4
Lusitania FC 2
Estarreja 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Chaves 1
Leiria 0
Freamunde 1
Louletano 2
Leixoes 2
Pinhalnovense 0
TBD -
Arouca -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Camacha 1
Uniao 3
Naval 2
Viana Alentejo 1
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Casa Pia 5
Alcobaca 0
Real SC 1
Oriental 3
GD Coruchense 1
Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Penafiel 3
Lagoa 0
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Coimbroes 1
Oliveira de Frades 0
Gafanha 1
AD Fafe 2
Caldas SC 2
Tirsense 1
GD Alcochetense 0
Atletico Arcos 2
Gondomar 3
Anadia 1
TBD -
Estoril -
1/32-finals
Gil Vicente 2
Tondela 1
Leiria e Marrazes 1
SB Castelo Branco 5
BSAD 1
Olhanense 0
FC Pampilhosa 0
Portimonense 5
Aves 3
Moreirense 2
Sertanense 1
U. Madeira 5
Cova De Piedade 4
Alcanenense 3
Mosteirense 0
Nacional 6
Boavista 2
GS Loures 1
SC Salgueiros 0
Operario 1
Trofense 1
Santa Clara 0
Sanjoanense 1
Academica 5
Feirense 2
Famalicao 1
SC Praiense 0
Malveira 3
SC Angrense 4
Torre De Moncorvo 1
Varzim 0
FC Porto 2
Braga 3
Academico Viseu 0
Rio Tinto 0
SC Farense 1
Benfica 2
SC Vianense 1
Vilafranquense 0
Sporting CP 4
Amarante FC 3
GD Braganca 2
Lusitania FC 0
Maritimo 2
Chaves 5
Louletano 0
Leixoes 1
Arouca 2
Rio Ave 3
Uniao 0
Naval 1
Pacos Ferreira 7
Casa Pia 3
Oriental 1
GD Coruchense 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Penafiel 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Coimbroes 2
AD Fafe 3
Caldas SC 3
Atletico Arcos 0
Gondomar 0
Estoril 1
1/16-finals
Gil Vicente 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
BSAD 2
Portimonense 3
Aves 4
U. Madeira 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Boavista 1
Operario 0
Trofense 0
Academica 1
Feirense 1
Malveira 0
SC Angrense 0
FC Porto 2
Braga 1
SC Farense 0
Benfica 1
Sporting CP 2
Amarante FC 1
Maritimo 0
Chaves 0
Arouca 1
Rio Ave 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Casa Pia 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Penafiel 2
AD Fafe 1
Caldas SC 0
Estoril 1
1/8-finals
Gil Vicente 2
Portimonense 1
Aves 2
Nacional 3
Boavista 1
Academica 0
Feirense 0
FC Porto 1
Braga 4
Sporting CP 3
Amarante FC 1
Arouca 2
Rio Ave 2
Vitoria Setubal 1
Penafiel 0
Estoril 1
Quarter-finals
Gil Vicente 1
Nacional 0
Boavista 0
FC Porto 1
Braga 2
Arouca 0
Rio Ave 3
Estoril 0
Semi-finals
Gil Vicente 0
FC Porto 5
Braga 1
Rio Ave 0
Final
FC Porto 2
Braga 3