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Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitano FCV

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 game between Oliveira de Frades and Lusitano FCV finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano FCV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Oliveira de Frades
17%
Draws
13%
Lusitano FCV
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Oliveira de Frades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Oliveira de Frades haven't matched Lusitano FCV's recent run of results.
  • Oliveira de Frades are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lusitano FCV have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 13%
Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira de Frades Lusitano FCV
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 3 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Oliveira de Frades
1:0
Mar 26, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitano FCV
0:3
Jan 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitano FCV
0:1
Nov 1, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Oliveira de Frades
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira de Frades 66 / 100
Lusitano FCV 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira de Frades Lusitano FCV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Lusitano FCV registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lusitano FCV conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

Oliveira de Frades found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Oliveira de Frades VS Lusitano FCV
0 Goals Scored 0.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sanjoanense1494127:1146
2FC Cesarense1483320:1438
3Lusitano FCV1454516:1034
4Mortagua FC1461713:1629
5Gafanha1454514:1727
6Lusitania FC1445513:1627
7Oliveira de Frades1433815:2222
8Bustelo1432910:2218