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Oliveira do Douro vs AD Marco 09

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Nunes V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AD Marco 09 in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Marco 09.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Oliveira do Douro
20%
Draws
61%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • AD Marco 09 have won more games recently than Oliveira do Douro.
  • AD Marco 09 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 25%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira do Douro AD Marco 09
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Oliveira do Douro
2:4
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Oliveira do Douro vs AD Marco 09
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira do Douro 21 / 100
AD Marco 09 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira do Douro AD Marco 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Marco 09 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Oliveira do Douro scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

AD Marco 09 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Oliveira do Douro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Marco 09
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira do Douro

(Home)
07 Apr
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 1
Amarante FC
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0
Oliveira do Douro
17 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 2
Paredes
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4
Oliveira do Douro
03 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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AD Marco 09

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 26 17 8 1 40:15 59
2 Sao Joao de Ver 26 12 9 5 27:18 45
3 Gondomar 26 12 7 7 28:20 43
4 AD Marco 09 26 11 8 7 29:22 41
5 Rebordosa 26 8 12 6 27:23 36
6 Paredes 26 9 8 9 31:25 35
7 SC Salgueiros 26 9 8 9 35:26 35
8 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 8 10 8 35:32 34
9 Beira Mar 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Florgrade 26 8 9 9 24:24 33
11 Oliveira do Douro 26 6 8 12 25:33 26
12 Valadares Gaia FC 26 6 6 14 22:47 24
13 ACDR Lamelas 26 7 3 16 19:39 24
14 Vila Mea 26 6 4 16 27:45 22
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)